Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.003305 0.003466 0.003631 0.003811 0.004004 0.004205 0.004429
2025-06-08 0.003003 0.003240 0.003492 0.003781 0.004103 0.004452 0.004862
2025-06-15 0.002787 0.003064 0.003366 0.003720 0.004128 0.004584 0.005138
2025-06-22 0.002625 0.002928 0.003265 0.003670 0.004146 0.004694 0.005377
2025-06-29 0.002521 0.002848 0.003218 0.003672 0.004217 0.004859 0.005679
2025-07-06 0.002370 0.002704 0.003087 0.003564 0.004147 0.004846 0.005758
2025-07-13 0.002296 0.002646 0.003053 0.003567 0.004207 0.004988 0.006030
2025-07-20 0.002255 0.002624 0.003059 0.003617 0.004323 0.005202 0.006402
2025-07-27 0.002178 0.002554 0.003003 0.003585 0.004333 0.005279 0.006595
2025-08-03 0.002112 0.002495 0.002956 0.003562 0.004351 0.005365 0.006801
2025-08-10 0.002049 0.002437 0.002909 0.003536 0.004363 0.005440 0.006993
2025-08-17 0.002028 0.002430 0.002924 0.003589 0.004479 0.005658 0.007391
2025-08-24 0.001977 0.002384 0.002890 0.003578 0.004509 0.005761 0.007635
2025-08-31 0.001922 0.002332 0.002845 0.003549 0.004515 0.005831 0.007833
2025-09-07 0.001859 0.002267 0.002782 0.003494 0.004480 0.005841 0.007941
2025-09-14 0.001804 0.002210 0.002727 0.003447 0.004456 0.005863 0.008067
2025-09-21 0.001771 0.002182 0.002708 0.003449 0.004498 0.005981 0.008344
2025-09-28 0.001700 0.002101 0.002618 0.003350 0.004393 0.005881 0.008276
2025-10-05 0.001671 0.002077 0.002602 0.003353 0.004434 0.005995 0.008549
2025-10-12 0.001661 0.002075 0.002617 0.003399 0.004538 0.006207 0.008989
2025-10-19 0.001623 0.002036 0.002580 0.003369 0.004530 0.006249 0.009153
2025-10-26 0.001590 0.002003 0.002549 0.003348 0.004534 0.006308 0.009347
2025-11-02 0.001557 0.001969 0.002517 0.003324 0.004531 0.006356 0.009525